13 Jul · 15:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1566
FormLWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Oracz
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1602
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H10-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.