13 Jul · 18:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1570
FormLWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1604
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+34
H2H33-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.