13 Jul · 16:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1569
3-0Final setsPtak won
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1588
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Oracz at 54%. The actual result was Wiktor Ptak 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Oracz favoured — closing 1.83
Total 79.5
56 points played
Set handicap
Oracz −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Oracz −0.5 points
Total sets 4.5
closing 1.55
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wiktor Ptak is favoured to win, below means Michal Oracz.
▲ Wiktor Ptakpre 42% → final 1%
Michal Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts53 points · 3 games