14 Jul · 01:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1587
FormWWWWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Adamus
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1343
FormWLLWW
75%
25%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+244
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+244)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)