14 Jul · 01:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1294
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lukaszewski
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1343
FormWLWWW
45%
55%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 45% · 2.22· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+49
H2H27-44
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)