14 Jul · 04:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1453
FormWLLWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1617
FormWWWLL
33%
67%
🌟Gumulinski covers set handicap as favourite 75% (20)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+164
H2H87-76
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+164)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (87-76)