14 Jul · 04:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1512
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cyndera
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1551
FormWWWWL
46%
54%
🌟Cyndera rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Cyndera
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H25-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.