14 Jul · 04:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1593
FormWLWWW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Adamus
MS
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1344
FormLWLWL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+249
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)