14 Jul · 15:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1341
FormLLLLL
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1628
FormWLWWL
22%
78%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 79% · 1.27· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+287
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+287)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)