Rafal Gajda vs Lukasz Bernacki — TT Elite Series

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14 Jul · 07:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1493

2-3Final setsBernacki won

🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki

ELO 1528

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Bernacki at 50%. The actual result was Lukasz Bernacki 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Gajda — profile →Lukasz Bernacki — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Lukasz Bernacki favoured — closing 1.82

Favourite won

Total 80.5

107 points played

Over

Set handicap

Lukasz Bernacki −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Lukasz Bernacki −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.05

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

3.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Bernacki.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 54% → final 23%

Lukasz Bernacki ▼

Biggest swing 69 ptsBernacki recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games