14 Jul · 11:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1497
FormWWLWW
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Baron
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1313
FormLLLLW
69%
31%
🌟Baron goes over total as favourite 70% (40)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+184
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+184)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)