14 Jul · 11:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DP
🇵🇱Dmitrij Prokopcov
ELO 1721
FormLWWWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Prokopcov
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1555
FormLWWLL
68%
32%
🌟Prokopcov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Prokopcov
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)