14 Jul · 13:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1504
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sobel
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1403
FormLLWLW
61%
39%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H11-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-6)