14 Jul · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1583
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wisniewski
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1551
FormLLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Wisniewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (31)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.