14 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1313
FormLWLLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Pelka
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1482
FormLWWWL
32%
68%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 38% (16)
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~79 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+169
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+169)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)