Mariusz Baron vs Jerzy Pelka — TT Elite Series

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14 Jul · 13:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1495

3-2Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka

ELO 1485

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Jerzy Pelka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jerzy Pelka favoured — closing 1.76

Upset

Total 78.5

95 points played

Over

Set handicap

Jerzy Pelka −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Jerzy Pelka −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.15

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Pelka.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 56% → final 2%

Jerzy Pelka ▼

Biggest swing 81 ptsPelka recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games