14 Jul · 15:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DP
🇵🇱Dmitrij Prokopcov
ELO 1734
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Prokopcov
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1662
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Wloczko🌟Prokopcov rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Prokopcov
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 41% · 2.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)