14 Jul · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1350
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jurowicz
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1440
FormLLWWL
40%
60%
Fair odds · Jurowicz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)