14 Jul · 15:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1392
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1513
FormWLWWW
37%
63%
🌟Sulkowski covers set handicap as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H23-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-20)