14 Jul · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1300
FormLLLLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1502
FormWWLWL
29%
71%
🌟Baron goes over total as favourite 70% (40)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+202
H2H3-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+202)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)