14 Jul · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1392
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Przewlocki
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1329
FormLWLLW
57%
43%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H24-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-20)