14 Jul · 18:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1633
FormWLWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Wojtaszczyk
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1502
FormWWLWL
64%
36%
🌟Baron goes over total as underdog 63% (30)
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+131
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)