14 Jul · 20:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1395
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1455
FormLWWWW
43%
57%
🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)