14 Jul · 20:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1595
FormLWWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Koczyba
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1496
FormWLLLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+99
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)