14 Jul · 20:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1534
FormLWLWL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Molenda
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1776
FormWWWLL
26%
74%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~74 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+242
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+242)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)