14 Jul · 21:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1317
FormLLLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1451
FormLWLWW
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lukaszewski🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H7-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-3)