15 Jul · 03:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jacek Przewlocki
ELO 1410
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Przewlocki
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1369
FormLWLLL
55%
45%
🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Przewlocki
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 40% · 2.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H8-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-5)