Jakub Nowak vs Marian Lebek — TT Elite Series

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14 Jul · 23:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Jakub Nowak

ELO 1328

3-0Final setsNowak won

🇵🇱Marian Lebek

ELO 1538

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 65%. The actual result was Jakub Nowak 3-0 — the underdog won.

Jakub Nowak — profile →Marian Lebek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Marian Lebek favoured — closing 1.3

Upset

Total 75.5

59 points played

Under

Set handicap

Marian Lebek −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Marian Lebek −7.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 1.4

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Nowak is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Jakub Nowakpre 37% → final 92%

Marian Lebek ▼

Biggest swing 63 ptsNowak recovered from 30%58 points · 3 games