15 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1527
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skorupa
DP
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1525
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Skorupa
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.