15 Jul · 04:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1345
FormWLWLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Szymik
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1550
FormWWLWW
29%
71%
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~76 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+205
H2H20-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+205)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-15)