Rafal Gajda vs Kamil Smolka — TT Elite Series

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15 Jul · 09:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Gajda

ELO 1487

2-3Final setsSmolka won

🇵🇱Kamil Smolka

ELO 1540

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Smolka at 56%. The actual result was Kamil Smolka 2-3 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Gajda — profile →Kamil Smolka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kamil Smolka favoured — closing 1.56

Favourite won

Total 79.5

117 points played

Over

Set handicap

Kamil Smolka −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Kamil Smolka −3.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

closing 2.12

Over

Exact score

market priced 2-3 at close

3.65

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Gajda is favoured to win, below means Kamil Smolka.

▲ Rafal Gajdapre 47% → final 22%

Kamil Smolka ▼

Biggest swing 60 ptsSmolka recovered from 38%72 points · 5 games