15 Jul · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Kamil Smolka
ELO 1540
FormWWWLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Smolka
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1390
FormWLLWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Smolka
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)