15 Jul · 13:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1532
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zochniak
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1476
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (24)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)