15 Jul · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1435
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Gajda
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1487
FormLLLWW
44%
56%
⚡ Cover lean · Gajda🌟Gajda stays under total as favourite 86% (14)
Fair odds · Gajda
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+52
H2H18-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)