15 Jul · 13:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1539
FormWWWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Minda
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1413
FormWLLWW
64%
36%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (20)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+126
H2H20-22
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+126)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)