15 Jul · 20:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1574
FormWLWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kubiak
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1483
FormLWWWL
60%
40%
🌟Kubiak covers set handicap as favourite 65% (37)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~80 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H24-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-17)