15 Jul · 20:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1652
FormWLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Daniel
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1719
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+67
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+67)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)