15 Jul · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1483
FormLWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1638
FormLLLWW
33%
67%
🌟Fomin goes over total as favourite 65% (34)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H24-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)