15 Jul · 17:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇵🇱Szymon Sporek
ELO 1691
FormLLWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sporek
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1604
FormWLLWW
59%
41%
🌟Sporek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (57)
Fair odds · Sporek
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H5-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-0)