15 Jul · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1417
FormLWWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1476
FormWLWLW
43%
57%
🌟Sulkowski goes over total as underdog 75% (20)
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+59
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+59)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)