15 Jul · 22:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1425
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Staniczek
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1371
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Staniczek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+54
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+54)