15 Jul · 19:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1652
FormWLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Jendrzejewski
KS
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1611
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Staszczyk🌟Staszczyk covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Jendrzejewski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)