15 Jul · 18:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1483
FormLWWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Michalik
JD
🇵🇱Jerzy Debski
ELO 1371
FormLLLLW
62%
38%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)