15 Jul · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1558
FormLWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Oracz
SJ
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1438
FormLWLWW
63%
37%
🌟Juzek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (15)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)