15 Jul · 16:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1542
FormWLWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Minda
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1391
FormLLLLW
66%
34%
Fair odds · Minda
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H52-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (52-51)