15 Jul · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1566
FormWLWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Adamus
KJ
🇵🇱Karol Jablonski
ELO 1404
FormWLWWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~79 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+162
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+162)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)