15 Jul · 18:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1565
FormWLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Oracz
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1475
FormLWLLL
60%
40%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)