16 Jul · 23:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TF
🇵🇱Tomasz Filbrandt
ELO 1569
FormLLLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Kuzmicz
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1735
FormLWWWL
32%
68%
Fair odds · Kuzmicz
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)