16 Jul · 23:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1635
FormWLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jendrzejewski
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1670
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Staszczyk🌟Jendrzejewski goes over total as favourite 68% (79)
Fair odds · Jendrzejewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.