16 Jul · 22:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PJ
🇵🇱Patryk Jendrzejewski
ELO 1670
FormLWWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Sporek
SS
🇵🇱Szymon Sporek
ELO 1706
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jendrzejewski🌟Sporek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (60)
Fair odds · Sporek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.